Saturday, August 21, 2010

Emmy 2010 Predix Part 2

Last Wednesday, I shared my predictions/analysis for the Supporting Acting categories for both Comedy and Drama so this time around let's move on to the Lead Acting Categories. But before this, tomorrow (Saturday in the US) is the Creative Arts Emmy Awards Night where all the technical categories plus the guest acting categories will be awarded! There are hundreds to be awarded in the Primetime Emmy Awards so only the major ones will be broadcasted on the awards night on August 29 (August 30 in the morning here in the Philippines). Anyway, here are my predictions:

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series

* Kyle Chandler for playing Eric Taylor on Friday Night Lights for episode "East of Dillon" (The 101 Network/NBC)
* Bryan Cranston for playing Walter White on Breaking Bad for episode "Full Measure" (AMC)
* Matthew Fox for playing Jack Shephard on Lost for episode "The End" (ABC)
* Michael C. Hall for playing Dexter Morgan on Dexter for episode "The Getaway" (Showtime)
* Jon Hamm for playing Don Draper on Mad Men for episode "The Gypsy and the Hobo" (AMC)
* Hugh Laurie for playing Dr. Gregory House on House for episode "Broken" (Fox)

Who Will Win: Hugh Laurie (House)

Laurie submitted the very powerful season 6 premiere of House which he really give a magnificent performance wherein the 2-hour episode focuses only on him, if was a great showcase of his thespic skills. If he loses again this year with that episode I don't think he will ever win at all!

Close Second: All 5 of them!
Yes, this is one tough category that I could see any of the five actors winning this award. Hall had a great season with Dexter and he won the Golden Globe and SAG this year. Newbies Chandler and Fox submitted strong episodes that could snatch them a win same goes to consistent nominee Hamm. And of course reigning champ Cranston delivered another magnificent performance. It really is anybody's ballgame.

Who I Want Win: Hugh Laurie (House)
It's obvious from my previous post that I want Hugh Laurie to win, he is way overdue for an award especially how iconic Dr. Gregory House has become because of him.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series

* Connie Britton for playing Tami Taylor on Friday Night Lights for episode "After the Fall" (The 101 Network/NBC)
* Glenn Close for playing Patricia "Patty" Hewes on Damages for episode "Your Secrets Are Safe" (FX)
* Mariska Hargitay for playing Olivia Benson on Law & Order: Special Victims Unit for episode "Perverted" (NBC)
* January Jones for playing Betty Draper on Mad Men for episode "The Gypsy and the Hobo" (AMC)
* Julianna Margulies for playing Alicia Florrick on The Good Wife for episode "Threesome" (CBS)
* Kyra Sedgwick for playing Brenda Leigh Johnson on The Closer for episode "Maternal Instincts" (TNT)

Who Will Win: Julianna Margulies (The Good Wife)

The most praised performance of any actress on a new show last season and she already won a lot of awards already, it would be a shocker if she loses the biggest award.

Close Second: Glenn Close (Damages)
She is the Glenn Close and has won the past two years and a three-peat is not out of the question.

Possible Upset: Kyra Sedgwick (The Closer)
Many already written her off because despite being nominated consistently but she has never won at all. But she submitted a very strong that could really pull what could be the biggest upset on the awards night.

Who I Want to Win: Juliana Margulies (The Good Wife)
I'm impressed on her very effective dramatic, it's not showy performance but she could make you feel what her character's dilemma is with just a simple stare or subtle gesture.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

* Alec Baldwin for playing Jack Donaghy on 30 Rock for episode "Don Geiss, America, and Hope" (NBC)
* Steve Carell for playing Michael Scott on The Office for episode "The Cover Up" (NBC)
* Larry David for playing Larry David on Curb Your Enthusiasm for episode "Seinfeld" (HBO)
* Matthew Morrison for playing Will Schuester on Glee for episode "Mash Up" (FOX)
* Jim Parsons for playing Sheldon Cooper on The Big Bang Theory for episode "The Pants Alternative" (CBS)
* Tony Shalhoub for playing Adrian Monk on Monk for episode "Monk and the End" (USA)

Who Will Win: Tony Shalhoub (Monk)

The three-time winner could score a fourth and final Emmy for his grounbreaking role as the obsessive-compulsive detective Adrian Monk especially that he submitted the two-hour series finale which he delivered a very heartfelt performance although not necessary comedic but he has won three times already, a fourth win is highly possible!

Close Second: Jim Parsons (The Big Bang Theory)
Parsons is still the most buzzed nominee here like last year, he submitted a strong episode (although in my opinion not as strong as last year's submission) where he showcase how great an actor he is and how he carried the show from a cult favorite to a ratings juggernaut but what's keeping me from predicting him to win is that if he already lost last year with a stronger episode
he could still lose now.

Possible Upset: Alec Baldwin (30 Rock)
He won the past two years I know but I'm placing him as a possible upset because no one is expecting him to win again given how weak the storyline his character had for the previous season and the episode he submitted is not that remarkable but he is still the Alec Baldwin and the voters love him so don't count a three-peat for him (but I hope not!)

Who I Want to Win: Jim Parsons (The Big Bang Theory)
He deserves it so much, the way he can deliver those long dialogues with scientific jargons with ease, with and charm deserved a recognition. He transformed Sheldon to become one of the contemporary sitcom icons!

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

* Toni Collette for playing Tara Gregson on United States of Tara for episode "Tornado" (Showtime)
* Edie Falco for playing Jackie Peyton on Nurse Jackie for episode "Pilot" (Showtime)
* Tina Fey for playing Liz Lemon on 30 Rock for episode "Dealbreakers Talk Show #0001" (NBC)
* Julia Louis-Dreyfus for playing Christine Campbell on The New Adventures of Old Christine for episode "I Love What You Do for Me" (CBS)
* Lea Michele for playing Rachel Berry on Glee for episode "Sectionals" (FOX)
* Amy Poehler for playing Leslie Knope on Parks And Recreation for episode "Telethon" (NBC)

Who Will Win: Toni Collette (United States of Tara)

Last year's winner could win again this year as she submitted an episode where she has one excellent scene where Collette showcased how excellent an actress she is as she effortlessly transformed from one personality to another, that scene alone could warrant her another win. The show and her character is not really comedic though but she won last year with that material, I could see her winning it again

Close Second: Edie Falco (Nurse Jackie)
Like Tara, the show and her character is not really comedic but the academy loves Falco so much that they nominated her show on many categories including Outstanding Comedy which no one expected actually. She submitted the pilot episode where she showcased how commanding her presence is on screen but she does not have one standout scene like Collete had so that's why I did not pick her as my bet for the win but her reputation alone could give her votes to win.

Possible Upset: Lea Michelle (Glee)
She is the central character of the most talked about show last season which garnered 19 nominations on this year's Emmy awards. She could benefit from the halo effect of the Glee love from the voters this year. Her submitted episode does not have a standout comedic scene but she has one captivating musical number where she performed Don't Rain on My Parade" where it could charm the voters to vote for her.

Who I Want to Win: Amy Poehler (Parks and Recreation)
Her performance from the vastly improved second season of this show is very witty and charming. Her submitted episode showcased how excellent Poehler's comedic timing is. And maybe her win could make the viewers check out the show. The show had a weak first season but it really improved on the second season so I wish people would give this show another shot. And I believe a Poehler win could help the show.

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