Thursday, November 24, 2011

My 2011 Billboard Hot 100 Year-end Chart Predix


With the release of the final chart eligible for Billboard 2011 Year-end chart I decided to make a prediction on what songs will likely make it to the Top 20 of the Year-end Hot 100 chart. Again the Billboard chart year is from December of the outgoing year to November of the incoming year (in this case December 2010-November 2011) the reason that Billboard does this is because it will give them enough time to produce the Billboard Year-end charts magazine to be released on the second week of December. The tabulation of the year-end chart will be based on the accumulated sales, audience impressions (airplay) and streaming points during the chart year. My prediction is just based basically on hunch taking into consideration the chart performance of each song. So without further adieu here's my prediction:

Note: The weeks on chart indicated are just for the chart runs for the song for the Billboard chart year of December 2010-November 2011

20. The Lazy Song - Bruno Mars
Peak: 4 (1 week)
Weeks on the chart: 26 weeks (10 weeks in the top 10 / 4 weeks in the top 5)


19. Tonight (I'm Lovin'/F***in' You) - Enrique Iglesias

Peak: 4 (1 week)

Weeks on the chart: 25 weeks (12 weeks in the top 10 / 2 weeks in the top 5)


18. What's My Name - Rihanna feat Drake
Peak for the chart year: 2 (1 week) #1 in 2010 for a week
Weeks on the chart year: 18 weeks (12 weeks in the top 10 / 9 weeks in the top 5)


17. (F***in) Perfect - Pink
Peak: 2 (1 week)

Weeks on the chart: 29 weeks (10 weeks in the top 10 / 5 weeks in the top 5)

16. Last Friday Night - Katy Perry

Peak: 1 (2 weeks)
Weeks on chart: 23 weeks (12 weeks in the top 10 / 11 weeks in the top 5)

15. Born This Way - Lady GaGa
Peak: 1 (6 weeks)

Weeks on chart: 20 weeks (9 weeks in the top 10 / 9 weeks in the top 5)


14. Pumped Up Kicks - Foster The People
Peak: 3 (8 weeks)

Weeks on chart: 29 weeks (14 weeks in the top 10 / 10 weeks in the top 5)

13. Someone Like You - Adele

Peak: 1 (5 weeks)
Weeks on chart: 19 weeks (11 weeks in the top 10 / 11 weeks in the top 5)


12. On The Floor - Jennifer Lopez feat Pitbull
Peak: 3 (1 week)
Weeks on chart: 29 weeks (15 weeks in the top 10 / 6 weeks in the top 5)


11. Super Bass - Nicki Minaj
Peak: 3 (2 weeks)

Weeks on chart: 29 weeks (15 weeks in the top 10 / 10 weeks in the top 5)


10. Just Can't Get Enough - Black Eyed Peas

Peak: 3 (4 weeks)

Weeks on chart: 31 weeks (13 weeks in the top 10 / 11 weeks in the top 5)


9. S&M - Rihanna

Peak: 1 (1 week)

Weeks on chart: 25 weeks (13 weeks in the top 10 / 9 weeks in the top 5)


8. Moves Like Jagger - Maroon Five feat Christina Aguilera

Peak: 1 (4 weeks)
Weeks on chart: 21 weeks (16 weeks in the top 10 / 14 weeks in the top 5 )

7. F**k You (Forget You) - Cee Lo Green
Peak: 2 (4 weeks)

Weeks on the chart year: 36 weeks (13 weeks in the top 10 / 9 weeks in the top 5)


6. Give Me Everything - Pitbull feat Ne-Yo, Afrojack and Nayer

Peak: 1 (1 week)

Weeks on chart: 33 weeks (17 weeks in the top 10 / 13 weeks in the top 5)


5. Grenade - Bruno Mars

Peak: 1 (4 weeks)
29 weeks on the chart year
17 weeks in the top 10
12 weeks in the top 5


4. Firework - Katy Perry

Peak: 1 (4 weeks)
35 weeks on the chart year
16 weeks in the top 10
13 weeks in the top 5

3. E.T - Katy Perry feat Kanye West


Peak: 1 (5 weeks)
29 weeks on the chart
20 weeks in the top 10
15 weeks in the top 5

2. Party Rock Anthem - LMFAO feat GoonRock and Lauren Bennet


Peak: 1 (6 weeks)
34 weeks on the chart
25 weeks in the top 10
17 weeks in the top 5

1. Rolling in the Deep - Adele


Peak: 1 (7 weeks)
45 weeks on the chart
19 weeks in the top 10
14 weeks in the top 5

2 comments:

ww_adh said...

That's a good guess. I think "Someone Like You" and "Moves Like Jagger" are a little high, given their late-year status. I also think Cee Lo will be top 5 (maybe even top 3). I expect "Firework" will edge out "E.T." too. "Rolling in the Deep" is definitely going to be #1.

I'd probably guess this:

1. Rolling in the Deep
2. Firework
3. F**k You
4. E.T.
5. Party Rock Anthem
6. Grenade
7. Give Me Everything
8. S&M
9. Perfect
10. Pumped Up Kicks

Anonymous said...

1. Rolling in the Deep
2. Firework
3. Party Rock Anthem
4. E.T. (feat. Kanye West)
5. Grenade
6. Give Me Everything
7. Fuck You
8. Moves Like Jagger
9. Super Bass
10. Pumped Up Kicks
11. S&M
12. Just Can’t Get Enough
13. On the Floor (feat. Pitbull)
14. Look At Me Now
15. Tonight Im Lovin You
16. F**kin Perfect
17. Born This Way
18. Last Friday Night (T.G.I.F.)
19. Raise Your Glass
20. Black and Yellow
21. Lazy Song
22. Someone Like You
23. What’s My Name (feat. Drake)
24. The Show Goes On
25. Just the Way You Are
26. Down On Me (feat. 50 Cent)
27. Till the World Ends
28. We R Who We R
29. The Time (Dirty Bit)